WEBVTT

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Unknown: MO

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Unknown:  Thank you.

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SPEAKER_08:  Welcome to the strategic development committee and special board meeting of October 6, 2026.

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SPEAKER_08:  This room is equipped with a safety alarm. If it sounds, please leave in an orderly manner via

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SPEAKER_08:  the exits to the lobby or behind the dais. Assemble in front of the building and wait to

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SPEAKER_08:  hear the all clear announcement from security before returning. This meeting is being recorded

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SPEAKER_08:  and can be accessed on SMUD's website. Please remember to unmute your microphone when speaking

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SPEAKER_08:  in order that our virtual attendees can hear you. The microphone will display a green indicator

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SPEAKER_08:  light when the mic is on. For members of the public attending in person that wish to speak

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SPEAKER_08:  at this meeting, please fill out a speaker's request form located on the table outside this

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SPEAKER_08:  room and hand it to SMUD security. Members of the public attending virtually that wish to provide

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SPEAKER_08:  verbal comments during the committee meeting may do so by using the raise hand feature in Zoom

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SPEAKER_08:  or pressing star 9 while dialed into the telephone toll free number at the time that the public

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SPEAKER_08:  comment is called. Technical support staff will enable the audio for you when your name is

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SPEAKER_08:  announced during the public comment period. You may also submit written comments by emailing them to

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SPEAKER_08:  public comment at SMUD.org. Written comments will not be read into the record but will be provided

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SPEAKER_08:  to the board electronically and placed into the record of the meeting if received within two hours

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SPEAKER_08:  after the meeting ends. Chief legal officer, please conduct a roll call.

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SPEAKER_08:  Here.

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Unknown:  Herber. Chair Sanborn. So since we only have one committee member present,

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SPEAKER_04:  we'll need to appoint have the president appoint another member to board member to the committee.

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Unknown:  Thanks Laura. I'll go ahead and appoint the vice president.

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Unknown:  And also present our directors, Rose, Bowie Thompson and present to my.

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Unknown:  Thank you, director. For accepting that responsibility.

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SPEAKER_08:  Item number one on tonight's agenda is to brief the board on SMUD's recently completed integrated

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SPEAKER_08:  distribution resources plan and our presenters include Rachel Huang, our director of distributed

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SPEAKER_08:  energy solutions, Michaela Levine, senior managing consultant at energy, environmental and economics

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SPEAKER_08:  E3 and Amandeep Singh, director of distribution planning and operations. Rachel.

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Unknown:  Great. Good evening, board. And thank you. As director Fishman said, my name is Rachel

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SPEAKER_03:  Wong. I'm the director of distributed energy solutions and happy to be talking today about

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SPEAKER_03:  our integrated distribution resources plan. So just for some agenda and some place setting,

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SPEAKER_03:  tonight I'm going to actually start by giving you a little bit of background and context before we

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SPEAKER_03:  dive into the analysis. Michaela from E3 is actually going to go through the integrated

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SPEAKER_03:  distribution resource planning analysis with all of you and go through the results. And then

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SPEAKER_03:  Amandeep Singh, our director of distribution planning and operations is going to talk about

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Unknown:  the considerations as we look at the results as well as some of the efforts that are underway in

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SPEAKER_03:  terms of how we're utilizing this information. So before we dive into the analysis, I wanted to

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SPEAKER_03:  share some background with regards to integrated distribution resources planning. And E3 is actually

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SPEAKER_03:  going to touch upon this as well. In fact, this slide that I put up here I stole from their deck

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SPEAKER_03:  so you will actually see it. It's going to be pretty familiar for you. But I just wanted to

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SPEAKER_03:  give some SMUD context before we dove in. So first, you know, why do we do an integrated

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SPEAKER_03:  distribution resources plan? So we do a lot of planning and analysis, right? Because we want to

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SPEAKER_03:  make sure that we're prepared and informed as we think about the investments that we make. And

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SPEAKER_03:  while we don't have a crystal ball, the analysis of the potential future DER growth scenarios,

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SPEAKER_03:  it actually allows us to proactively prepare for various distribution grid pathways.

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SPEAKER_03:  You can see in this graph that the diversity of how each DER impacts our net load profile,

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SPEAKER_03:  and where you can see that DERs are not only adding load, but they're also reducing our load

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SPEAKER_03:  as well. So as we see that we're getting to scale, the insights from this analysis is really going to

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SPEAKER_03:  be important to inform both our programs as well as what we need to think about in terms of

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SPEAKER_03:  electrification, infrastructure to support our electrification and grid modernization efforts.

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Unknown:  So, you know, we are on the ball. As we think about load growth, as we think about electrification,

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SPEAKER_03:  we are doing some of this analysis to help inform our thinking for what investments we need to be

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SPEAKER_03:  able to make for the future, and looking at what we can do to optimize those investments to ensure

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SPEAKER_03:  that the investments that we make can able to keep our rates affordable. So a caveat, you know,

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SPEAKER_03:  this analysis isn't definitive. It's not like, okay, we've got one number and it magically pops up.

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SPEAKER_03:  You'll see that we're actually using scenarios in this analysis to provide direction, given we know

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SPEAKER_03:  that the state space is dynamic and evolving. And by doing so, it actually helps us address some of

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SPEAKER_03:  the uncertainty associated with it because it gives us a range to consider. From a history

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SPEAKER_03:  standpoint, this is actually the third time that we've done an IDRP. The last time we did an IDRP

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SPEAKER_03:  is actually in 2020, and it was before we actually established the zero carbon plan. You know, a lot

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SPEAKER_03:  of things have changed since. However, that work that we did back in 2020 did inform because we

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SPEAKER_03:  did some analysis relative to EV load growth. It actually informed and led to our managed EV

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SPEAKER_03:  charging pilot program, which we're now in the process of operationalizing to launch next year.

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SPEAKER_03:  It also helped to guide some key investments that we made to bring visibility and control to our

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SPEAKER_03:  distribution system, including things like our distributed energy resources management system,

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SPEAKER_03:  also known as DERMS, to support that increasingly dynamic future distribution system. The other

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SPEAKER_03:  thing is that we deliberately timed this IDRP analysis to be conducted ahead of our integrated

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SPEAKER_03:  resources planning analysis, which Brian Swan is going to be kicking off with you next week,

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SPEAKER_03:  so that this analysis can actually help inform that one. And so for this IDRP, we expect this

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SPEAKER_03:  analysis is going to help chart the appropriate course and the level of investment so that we can

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SPEAKER_03:  support as well as capitalize upon the benefits from electrification while maintaining reliability

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SPEAKER_03:  and resilience. And then finally, before we dive into the analysis, just wanted to give you some

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SPEAKER_03:  perspective with regards to implications to our distributed energy resources programs and how they

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SPEAKER_03:  can help alleviate some of the investments needed to support electrification. So I don't know if you

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SPEAKER_03:  remember several years ago, this was probably as part of our ZCP, but also in some of the presentations

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SPEAKER_03:  we've done on our distributed energy resources strategy, I've talked about this concept of the

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SPEAKER_03:  value stack, right? That DERs can provide different streams of value and that we can actually

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SPEAKER_03:  benefit from multiple streams of value coming from the DERs. But that being said, our DER programs,

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SPEAKER_03:  as we've designed them, and as you look at the business case analysis for those programs,

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SPEAKER_03:  to date they've been fundamentally leveraging that value derived from the bulk system,

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SPEAKER_03:  looking at needs like capacity and energy arbitrage. So that's really been the foundation

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SPEAKER_03:  of the financial models for our programs. But looking ahead, we know that as we are evolving

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SPEAKER_03:  our energy mix, and that can actually reduce some of our traditional value streams. So in the future,

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SPEAKER_03:  we actually need to add additional value for the financials to work. And that's going to come from

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SPEAKER_03:  localized distribution level deployments that target specific grid benefits right in our communities.

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Unknown:  This evolving resource mix is something that I actually talked about about a month ago when I

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SPEAKER_03:  came to you with regards to updates for our zero carbon plan customer programs. I talked about how

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SPEAKER_03:  increases in wind and solar within our 2026 power mix actually helped reduce the value of the load

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SPEAKER_03:  shift from our commercial power direct program where customers originally were in that three to

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SPEAKER_03:  seven window. And we actually saw the value really drop from that. And that really caused us to need

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SPEAKER_03:  to extend that window to 9pm in order to really increase the value from that load flexibility.

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SPEAKER_03:  So getting that local value right is going to be critical to scale our DER programs in order for

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SPEAKER_03:  them to be cost competitive and in order for them to really help us keep our rates affordable.

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Unknown:  This also means, though, that there's areas on our distribution grid where it's more valuable to

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SPEAKER_03:  invest than others. So that's another consideration we're going to have to have as we think about

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SPEAKER_03:  designing our DER programs. So we are working on a number of programs that can help us enable local

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SPEAKER_03:  distribution value. As I mentioned, we're operationalizing our managed TV charging program.

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SPEAKER_03:  I also talked about in our ZCP customer programs update that we are getting close to launching

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SPEAKER_03:  our commercial virtual power plant pilot where we're going to be installing battery storage on

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SPEAKER_03:  certain commercial customers' sites behind specific substations to generate that operational data to

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SPEAKER_03:  give us more confidence on things like non-RARs alternatives. So the combination of multiple

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SPEAKER_03:  benefits to achieve greater value is going to help us drive affordability. But it's also going to

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SPEAKER_03:  come with some additional complexity to planning and operations. So it's really going to be

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SPEAKER_03:  critical that we take integrated approaches both to our planning as well as thinking about our IT

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SPEAKER_03:  systems to support the operation of those resources. So with that, I will hand it over to Michaela from E3.

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Unknown:  All right. Hi, I'm Michaela Levine. I'm here from E3 with my colleague, Mike Sontag. Before I begin,

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SPEAKER_00:  I just really want to thank all of the SMUD staff that contributed to the development of this

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SPEAKER_00:  integrated distribution resources plan. I really want to appreciate all their time, effort, and

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SPEAKER_00:  thoughtfulness they put into shaping the outcomes of this study. I'm going to start by just kind of

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SPEAKER_00:  building on some of that motivation that Rachel laid out. So a key motivation for doing this

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SPEAKER_00:  integrated distribution resource plan, this IDRP, was to advance integrated planning at SMUD.

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Unknown:  There are a lot of different flavors of integrated planning out there, and an IDRP is just one of

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SPEAKER_00:  them. Integrated planning is a really hot topic in the industry right now. It's a way for utilities

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SPEAKER_00:  to really engage in a transparent planning process. Integrated planning is all about breaking

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SPEAKER_00:  down the domains of the power system from generation, transmission, distribution, and customer and DR,

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Unknown:  and really bridging those silos in planning to think about how investments in one aspect of the

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SPEAKER_00:  power system affect others, and how we can do coordinated planning to drive towards lower total

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SPEAKER_00:  system cost plans that support other goals of the utility, affordability, reliability, and

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SPEAKER_00:  sustainability. So today we're talking about the IDRP, which primarily focus on the intersection

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SPEAKER_00:  of customers and distribution, DR and distribution. But the IDRP also acknowledges that DRs have bulk

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SPEAKER_00:  system impacts. Bulk system here, I find that I need generation and transmission. So as we go

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SPEAKER_00:  through the results, you'll also see how we consider those impacts as well. And as Rachel

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SPEAKER_00:  teed up, coming up, the big focus for SMUD is going to be your IRP, and so that's kind of

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SPEAKER_00:  focused mostly on the generation side of the planning process. A little bit more of the

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SPEAKER_00:  motivation. Coming back to that graph that Rachel showed you all before, a big motivation for this

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SPEAKER_00:  study was just the amount of low growth that SMUD's anticipating over the next 15 years.

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SPEAKER_00:  The study of being a distribution resources plan really focused on distribution-sided load,

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SPEAKER_00:  thinking about all types of DRs that SMUD anticipate getting adopted over the next 15 years.

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SPEAKER_00:  A lot of these DRs, including building electrification and transportation electrification,

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SPEAKER_00:  are critical to support the state's and SMUD's decarbonization goals. All of that investment

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SPEAKER_00:  and load growth is expected to trigger and accelerate the rate at which SMUD needs to invest

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SPEAKER_00:  in infrastructure investments. But it's also an opportunity for SMUD to realize some downward

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SPEAKER_00:  rate pressure, using all that load growth to increase the utilization of their system assets.

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SPEAKER_00:  But this study was really about how to maximize that opportunity, how to create the most downward

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SPEAKER_00:  rate pressure possible through electrification, and to do that, SMUD really needs to consider

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SPEAKER_00:  how DRs affect both the distribution system and the bulk system.

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SPEAKER_00:  A few objectives for the IDRP. The first one was to inform SMUD's capital and staffing strategies.

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SPEAKER_00:  With all this electrification, we're expecting the rate at which distribution upgrades

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SPEAKER_00:  are needed to support that load growth to increase over the future. And this study was

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SPEAKER_00:  to help SMUD inform how they might need to evolve their capital and staffing plans to be able to

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SPEAKER_00:  keep up with that pace of upgrade needs. Another key objective of the study was to inform how

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SPEAKER_00:  distribution planning practices at SMUD need to evolve to meet this high electrification future

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SPEAKER_00:  and the unique demands it's going to bring. A third objective here, and Rachel kind of touched

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SPEAKER_00:  on this already, was to inform how DR strategy will evolve at SMUD to think about how to leverage DRs

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SPEAKER_00:  as both a bulk and a distribution system asset. And fourth, another key objective of this study

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SPEAKER_00:  was to think about how to advance coordinated planning at SMUD across planning groups to yield

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SPEAKER_00:  lower total system cost solutions and bring affordability at kind of the forefront of planning.

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SPEAKER_00:  I'm going to summarize some key takeaways, and then we have a bunch more detail to kind of

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SPEAKER_00:  illustrate all of these key findings in the next few slides. The first key finding of this study

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SPEAKER_00:  is that significant load growth is coming to the SMUD system, but we estimate that that is going

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SPEAKER_00:  to create downward rate pressure for SMUD. Enabling all that load growth is going to require some

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SPEAKER_00:  upfront investment, both in staffing and capital projects. And electrification is expected to

00:17:21.439 --> 00:17:26.799
SPEAKER_00:  increase the volume at which SMUD will need to do distribution substation projects by 30 to 60%,

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SPEAKER_00:  and that kind of can vary based on the level of load management that SMUD is able to leverage.

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SPEAKER_00:  Managed charging, as well as nonwire solutions, can help SMUD really reduce that incremental

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SPEAKER_00:  distribution substation upgrade need. It could help SMUD significantly reduce that by up to 40%,

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SPEAKER_00:  and the distribution system cost impacts by 50%, which is another opportunity to yield

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SPEAKER_00:  more downward rate pressure with electrification if this load is well managed.

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SPEAKER_00:  The fourth key finding is that enabling load management and nonwire solutions will require

00:17:59.039 --> 00:18:03.839
SPEAKER_00:  SMUD to develop new coordination pathways between planning units. This will look like

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SPEAKER_00:  having good coordination between planning units on book process, programs, and infrastructure

00:18:07.680 --> 00:18:16.319
SPEAKER_00:  investments. Before we get into the analysis, I just wanted to outline our scope of work for

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SPEAKER_00:  this study. The first phase of the study was to develop inputs and our scenario assumptions.

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SPEAKER_00:  We built the study on a lot of work that SMUD had already done, building upon a lot of load

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SPEAKER_00:  forecasting and DR adoption forecasting that SMUD had already produced through past studies.

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SPEAKER_00:  But in this study, we took a detailed look at how EV charging management could look like across a

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SPEAKER_00:  bunch of different types of managed charging behavior, as well as different vehicle segments.

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SPEAKER_00:  So that was a big part of our input and scenario development, doing some EV charging load shaping,

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SPEAKER_00:  thinking about different kind of scenarios we wanted to test. After we developed all of our

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SPEAKER_00:  input scenarios for DR adoption, DR load shapes, managed charging, we went into the next phase of

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SPEAKER_00:  work, which was to develop a long-term distribution load forecast. So this load forecast looked out

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SPEAKER_00:  through 2040, you know, longer than a typical distribution planning cycle. And with those load

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SPEAKER_00:  forecasts, we produced for each scenario, we also assessed what generally the upgrade need would

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SPEAKER_00:  look like to support that level of load growth. The map here on the right side is just to illustrate

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SPEAKER_00:  the level of analytical rigor and detail that went to this study. For the long-term distribution load

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SPEAKER_00:  forecasts, the study leveraged load seer, which is a software platform that SMUD invested in,

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SPEAKER_00:  that is a distribution load forecasting and planning tool. Every one of those kind of little

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SPEAKER_00:  dots you see on the map is a location in which we forecasted that public DCFC charging would be

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SPEAKER_00:  adopted under a high public DCFC scenario. So you can see the level of spatial detail we went to,

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SPEAKER_00:  to really map all the places where DR adoption could occur and the likelihood that it would occur

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SPEAKER_00:  there as we developed these load forecasts. So after developing all these distribution load forecasts

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SPEAKER_00:  and assessing what the infrastructure upgrade needs, we went into a next phase of analysis.

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SPEAKER_00:  The first step of the analysis was to do our cost impact. We looked at for all these upgrades that

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SPEAKER_00:  SMUD would need, what would be the incremental distribution revenue requirement that SMUD would

00:20:06.079 --> 00:20:12.399
SPEAKER_00:  need to be able to build all those out over the course of the next 15 years? The next phase of

00:20:12.399 --> 00:20:17.439
SPEAKER_00:  our analysis was to take a targeted look at the opportunity to use non-wire solutions. And in the

00:20:17.440 --> 00:20:23.279
SPEAKER_00:  study we considered both managed EV as well as distributed battery as a non-wire solution

00:20:23.279 --> 00:20:28.160
SPEAKER_00:  technology that could be deployed to help avoid some of those distribution upgrades we identified

00:20:28.160 --> 00:20:33.840
SPEAKER_00:  in the second step of the study. And then the final phase of the study was to work with SMUD

00:20:33.840 --> 00:20:39.200
SPEAKER_00:  staff thinking about how programs and processes of SMUD need to evolve to be able to leverage DR

00:20:39.200 --> 00:20:42.640
SPEAKER_00:  as both a bulk system asset as well as a distribution system asset.

00:20:48.400 --> 00:20:53.039
Unknown:  Before we get into the results, I just wanted to introduce the scenarios. As Rachel teed up,

00:20:53.039 --> 00:20:57.120
SPEAKER_00:  we did a lot of scenario analysis in this study and I want to introduce these before we show some

00:20:57.120 --> 00:21:03.680
SPEAKER_00:  of the results associated with these. The graph on the left is an illustrative example of what EV

00:21:03.680 --> 00:21:08.960
SPEAKER_00:  charging looked like in all of these scenarios over the course of a day. All of the IDRP forecasts

00:21:08.960 --> 00:21:13.120
SPEAKER_00:  have all types of DRs embedded in them, building, electrification, energy efficiency, solar, and

00:21:13.119 --> 00:21:17.679
SPEAKER_00:  storage. The key differentiation between the scenarios is the type of load management and

00:21:17.679 --> 00:21:22.719
SPEAKER_00:  amount we assume. So our first scenario which is highlighted in gray is our reference or

00:21:22.719 --> 00:21:27.119
SPEAKER_00:  business as usual scenario. So this was meant to represent kind of the current trajectory of SMUD's

00:21:27.119 --> 00:21:32.639
SPEAKER_00:  programs as they are today. And so in this world, you know, some customers are not managing their

00:21:32.639 --> 00:21:37.199
SPEAKER_00:  charging. Some customers are going to passively manage charging on the time of use rates that

00:21:37.199 --> 00:21:41.839
SPEAKER_00:  SMUD already has in place. And another fraction of customers are going to be enrolled in more

00:21:41.839 --> 00:21:46.000
SPEAKER_00:  active managed charging programs. They look kind of like how SMUD's programs are today really

00:21:46.000 --> 00:21:51.439
SPEAKER_00:  designed around bulk system price signals. So that was our reference scenario meant to kind of

00:21:51.439 --> 00:21:56.799
SPEAKER_00:  represent business as usual. And then off of that, we developed two what we describe here as bookend

00:21:56.799 --> 00:22:02.240
SPEAKER_00:  scenarios. These are not necessarily achievable scenarios. They all assume very, you know,

00:22:02.240 --> 00:22:07.199
SPEAKER_00:  pretty much complete participation in some kind of active managed charging program. But they really

00:22:07.199 --> 00:22:11.119
SPEAKER_00:  were bookend scenarios to kind of test the full solution space and see what the range of impacts

00:22:11.119 --> 00:22:16.000
SPEAKER_00:  could be. These two bookend scenarios are quite different in terms of what kind of price signals

00:22:16.000 --> 00:22:20.719
SPEAKER_00:  and load management goes on in these kind of active managed scenarios. We have our manage for

00:22:20.719 --> 00:22:25.279
SPEAKER_00:  bulk system needs scenario which is that green shape there. And in that world, we still have

00:22:25.279 --> 00:22:30.079
SPEAKER_00:  quite a bit of customers passively managing their charging and time of use rates as well as half

00:22:30.079 --> 00:22:34.719
SPEAKER_00:  customers participating in an active managed charging program designed around bulk system

00:22:34.719 --> 00:22:40.479
SPEAKER_00:  price signals. So trying to avoid those SMUD system peak hours and increase charging in the middle of

00:22:40.480 --> 00:22:46.160
SPEAKER_00:  the day. The third scenario here is the manage to find peak scenario. In this scenario, we still

00:22:46.160 --> 00:22:51.839
SPEAKER_00:  incentivize customers to avoid those system peak hours. So try to minimize charging in hours that

00:22:51.839 --> 00:22:57.680
SPEAKER_00:  would put pressure on SMUD's need for new generation capacity. But outside of those hours, try to find

00:22:57.680 --> 00:23:02.640
SPEAKER_00:  their peak as much as possible, conduct charging in a coordinated fashion to avoid creating the

00:23:02.640 --> 00:23:08.160
SPEAKER_00:  rebound peak. So as you see in this graphic here, kind of the key differentiation between that green

00:23:08.160 --> 00:23:13.120
Unknown:  scenario and the reference scenario is we see that that more aggressive level of managing

00:23:13.120 --> 00:23:18.240
SPEAKER_00:  charging around bulk system price signals kind of creates a really concentrated charging profile.

00:23:18.240 --> 00:23:22.400
SPEAKER_00:  We see load really build up in the middle of the day. And then we see a strong rebound peak kind of

00:23:22.400 --> 00:23:27.279
SPEAKER_00:  after system peak hours or time of use rates hours. As we get into results, I just want to build that

00:23:27.279 --> 00:23:32.640
SPEAKER_00:  intuition that that could kind of create a new challenge with a localized new peak in a certain

00:23:32.640 --> 00:23:35.279
SPEAKER_00:  subset of hours.

00:23:38.960 --> 00:23:43.200
SPEAKER_00:  So now to get into some of our key findings in more detail. The first key finding is that

00:23:43.200 --> 00:23:49.920
SPEAKER_00:  electrification presents an opportunity to increase SMUD's utilization of its distribution

00:23:49.920 --> 00:23:55.680
SPEAKER_00:  system and create downward rate pressure. In this chart here, we're showing in the yellow bars

00:23:55.680 --> 00:24:01.040
SPEAKER_00:  the investment that SMUD will need to make in its distribution system for primary distribution

00:24:01.040 --> 00:24:05.920
SPEAKER_00:  system upgrades under our analysis here, as well as an estimate of what the secondary system costs

00:24:06.000 --> 00:24:11.279
SPEAKER_00:  would look like. So SMUD will need to make some upfront investments in that capital in those new

00:24:11.279 --> 00:24:16.640
SPEAKER_00:  projects to enable that load growth. But as it does, load continues to grow, that utilization

00:24:16.640 --> 00:24:22.160
SPEAKER_00:  of existing assets as well as new assets will grow over time. And as load grows, SMUD will take in

00:24:22.160 --> 00:24:27.759
SPEAKER_00:  more revenue as illustrated in those light blue bars. And the net balance here is expecting kind

00:24:27.759 --> 00:24:32.080
SPEAKER_00:  of a downward rate pressure as a result of all that load growth and increased utilization of those

00:24:32.079 --> 00:24:45.359
SPEAKER_00:  assets of up to about 25% by 2040. The next key finding is that electrification is expected to

00:24:45.359 --> 00:24:52.319
SPEAKER_00:  increase the annual volume of substation upgrades or additions by about 30 to 60%. So historically,

00:24:52.319 --> 00:24:57.359
SPEAKER_00:  in a typical year, SMUD has done about eight substation projects. That has been for typical

00:24:57.359 --> 00:25:02.959
SPEAKER_00:  levels of customer growth, asset health index issues, aging transformers, or other types of

00:25:02.959 --> 00:25:07.839
SPEAKER_00:  emergent failures. This study was really trying to identify what additional upgrades would be needed

00:25:07.839 --> 00:25:12.319
SPEAKER_00:  based off of this electrification driven load growth. And what we see is a significant increase

00:25:12.959 --> 00:25:18.719
SPEAKER_00:  depending on the scenario. In our manage for bulk system needs scenario, we see the highest rate of

00:25:18.719 --> 00:25:23.759
SPEAKER_00:  distribution upgrades is needed. So when we see that charging is managed purely around bulk system

00:25:23.759 --> 00:25:28.240
SPEAKER_00:  price signals, we can create new localized peaks in the distribution system that can trigger more

00:25:28.240 --> 00:25:34.720
SPEAKER_00:  upgrades than if we manage charging to help smooth out those rebound peaks and mitigate any kind of

00:25:34.720 --> 00:25:39.920
SPEAKER_00:  load secondary load impact on the distribution system as in that managed peak scenario.

00:25:41.440 --> 00:25:46.960
Unknown:  I'm just going to caveat this analysis that this is not a detailed distribution engineering study.

00:25:46.960 --> 00:25:50.720
SPEAKER_00:  So there are other opportunities for SMUD to potentially mitigate some of these upgrade needs

00:25:50.720 --> 00:25:55.920
SPEAKER_00:  through circuit switching. The other thing I want to call out is what our key finding of this study

00:25:55.920 --> 00:26:02.480
SPEAKER_00:  is that SMUD should really evolve their distribution planning processes to do more scenario analysis,

00:26:02.480 --> 00:26:07.360
SPEAKER_00:  do more long-term forecasting, and really take an active stance towards monitoring this load growth

00:26:07.360 --> 00:26:10.559
SPEAKER_00:  so they're ready and prepared for if and when it arrives.

00:26:15.839 --> 00:26:20.319
SPEAKER_00:  The next key finding I want to highlight is that in this scenario forecast,

00:26:20.319 --> 00:26:26.639
SPEAKER_00:  we really saw that SMUD's distribution upgrade needs will really accelerate in the next few years.

00:26:27.279 --> 00:26:32.639
SPEAKER_00:  So this gives SMUD a limited number of years to really develop programs and processes to

00:26:33.359 --> 00:26:38.399
SPEAKER_00:  engage in dynamic load management. This chart here is illustrating the distribution

00:26:38.399 --> 00:26:42.559
SPEAKER_00:  substation projects as well as bulk substation bank upgrades that we identified as needed in

00:26:42.559 --> 00:26:47.759
SPEAKER_00:  the study under our three scenarios. Our reference are managed for bulk system and managed to find

00:26:47.759 --> 00:26:52.559
SPEAKER_00:  peaks. So again, we see there's a lot more investments needed in that managed for bulk system

00:26:52.559 --> 00:26:56.799
SPEAKER_00:  needs scenario versus the managed to find peaks scenario. And we see that the upgrades really start

00:26:56.799 --> 00:27:05.359
SPEAKER_00:  to accelerate in the 2030, 2035 timeframe. So the kind of key finding and recommendation we made,

00:27:05.359 --> 00:27:09.519
SPEAKER_00:  which is based on this finding, is that SMUD really needs to take an active and

00:27:09.519 --> 00:27:14.640
SPEAKER_00:  stance towards really identifying the different requirements they need from their non-wires

00:27:14.720 --> 00:27:18.960
SPEAKER_00:  solutions projects and how they are going to define their data needs,

00:27:18.960 --> 00:27:22.800
SPEAKER_00:  begin to do some piloting and begin to incorporate that into their normal planning process.

00:27:24.000 --> 00:27:31.120
SPEAKER_06:  I'm going to ask you, John, and one of the things that is a blind and lost piece,

00:27:31.120 --> 00:27:36.240
SPEAKER_06:  blind, but you certainly haven't decided that managing the peaks is superior. But if you look

00:27:36.240 --> 00:27:43.040
SPEAKER_06:  at the marginal cost of energy as well as that marginal environmental cost, right, that you would

00:27:43.599 --> 00:27:49.599
Unknown:  prefer to manage for bulk system needs, right, you want people to charge from 10 to 2, even though

00:27:49.599 --> 00:27:58.159
SPEAKER_06:  it creates a peak. So is there ‑‑ are you trying to say that or are you just saying this is one of the

00:27:58.159 --> 00:28:04.159
SPEAKER_06:  scenarios, right, that we've analyzed? Is there a commentary to that base result?

00:28:04.720 --> 00:28:08.879
Unknown:  Yeah, I think one of the things you're pointing to is that there are a lot of locations on the

00:28:08.880 --> 00:28:15.200
SPEAKER_00:  distribution system where there is head room. And the level of load management, you can do this

00:28:15.200 --> 00:28:20.080
SPEAKER_00:  really aggressive load management around your bulk system peak. You can really try to maximize load

00:28:20.080 --> 00:28:23.680
SPEAKER_00:  in the middle of the day if you're not too worried about a rebound peak because you have a lot of

00:28:23.680 --> 00:28:29.520
SPEAKER_00:  head room. But there are locations where if you take that strategy, you'll create a new distribution

00:28:29.520 --> 00:28:34.640
SPEAKER_00:  challenge and that could, you know, make those cost savings a little bit of a wash.

00:28:35.520 --> 00:28:42.000
SPEAKER_00:  And did the ‑‑ there's a lot of slides ago. Did you try to look at that comparison and say, hey,

00:28:42.720 --> 00:28:49.040
SPEAKER_06:  the electricity is free, right, in the middle of the day, we should invest in these

00:28:49.040 --> 00:28:52.880
SPEAKER_06:  transformers that allows us to handle those peaks when the power is at its cheapest?

00:28:53.600 --> 00:28:57.600
Unknown:  Yeah, totally. Sorry, I was trying to see if we had our appendix slides here, but I don't think we do.

00:28:57.599 --> 00:29:06.480
SPEAKER_00:  Yeah, we did. So we did an analysis where we looked at, like, what is the bulk system benefit

00:29:06.480 --> 00:29:11.679
SPEAKER_00:  you get in all of these scenarios and what's the incremental distribution cost? And what we found

00:29:11.679 --> 00:29:16.480
SPEAKER_00:  is that with the managed bulk system need scenario, you have a big bulk system benefit,

00:29:16.480 --> 00:29:21.119
SPEAKER_00:  but you have a relatively incremental distribution cost, and it's kind of a wash in terms of the

00:29:21.119 --> 00:29:26.719
SPEAKER_00:  total benefit across the entire system. Whereas in this managed defined peak scenario, you get

00:29:26.720 --> 00:29:31.279
SPEAKER_00:  still a lot of that bulk system benefit that you do in the managed bulk system, almost, I would

00:29:31.279 --> 00:29:37.039
SPEAKER_00:  say, majority of it, because you're still shifting away from your, you know, peak hours. You're

00:29:37.039 --> 00:29:41.600
SPEAKER_00:  getting a little bit less value, you know, you're kind of having some higher loads and hours that

00:29:41.600 --> 00:29:47.200
SPEAKER_00:  are maybe a slightly more energy cost, but you have a lot of distribution benefits. That yielded

00:29:47.200 --> 00:29:51.200
SPEAKER_00:  the total ‑‑ the total system cost that was lower than other scenarios.

00:29:51.200 --> 00:29:51.920
Unknown:  Great. Thank you.

00:29:56.720 --> 00:30:07.680
Unknown:  Thanks for the question. That's a good one. All right. I'm going to keep going and talk about how

00:30:07.680 --> 00:30:12.799
SPEAKER_00:  SMUD's customer programs need to evolve to take advantage of the locational benefits.

00:30:15.440 --> 00:30:20.640
Unknown:  You know, with programs, conventional DER programs that are really designed around taking advantage

00:30:21.440 --> 00:30:26.400
SPEAKER_00:  of trying to avoid generation capacity investments, SMUD can dispatch all of the

00:30:26.400 --> 00:30:32.480
SPEAKER_00:  resources involved in that type of program on a single system‑wide signal. When you're using DERs

00:30:32.480 --> 00:30:38.880
SPEAKER_00:  for a locationally targeted program, diversity of dispatch signals is key. Different elements of the

00:30:38.880 --> 00:30:43.840
SPEAKER_00:  distribution system peak at different times. And as we saw in our scenario analysis, kind of

00:30:43.840 --> 00:30:48.720
SPEAKER_00:  coordinated to cascading charging of different types of resources is necessary to kind of avoid

00:30:48.799 --> 00:30:57.200
SPEAKER_00:  types of rebound peaks. Another key difference is that when you're using DERs for a generation

00:30:57.200 --> 00:31:03.600
SPEAKER_00:  capacity type program, the utility takes on a financial risk. But the utility could likely make

00:31:03.600 --> 00:31:09.440
SPEAKER_00:  up for any shortfall in performance or unexpected challenges with customer enrollment by getting a

00:31:10.079 --> 00:31:15.759
SPEAKER_00:  short‑term capacity contract in a liquid market in KISO. But when we're talking about using DERs

00:31:15.759 --> 00:31:20.960
SPEAKER_00:  for a locational capacity, the utility takes on both physical and financial risk. There are

00:31:20.960 --> 00:31:27.759
SPEAKER_00:  limited backup options if DER enrollment in a program targeted at locational capacity falls short

00:31:28.559 --> 00:31:33.759
SPEAKER_00:  of the system needs. There's also a difference here in terms of the risk when you're thinking

00:31:33.759 --> 00:31:39.200
SPEAKER_00:  about customer opt‑out. The impact of any one customer opting out of a program that is a system‑wide

00:31:39.200 --> 00:31:45.119
SPEAKER_00:  program target around generation capacity is rather minimal. It's still something to be thinking

00:31:45.119 --> 00:31:50.079
SPEAKER_00:  about monitoring. But when you're talking about locational capacity, if any one customer opts out

00:31:50.079 --> 00:31:55.279
SPEAKER_00:  when you're using a smaller pool of customers as a resource, the risk of anyone opting out is much

00:31:55.279 --> 00:32:02.559
SPEAKER_00:  more significant. Another key difference between programs designed around generation capacity needs

00:32:02.559 --> 00:32:08.479
SPEAKER_00:  versus locational capacity needs is that generation capacity is a value that's easy to forecast over

00:32:08.479 --> 00:32:14.799
SPEAKER_00:  the lifetime of a program and it's rather persistent. With locational capacity, the value of it is

00:32:15.440 --> 00:32:21.839
SPEAKER_00:  transient in time. The value of DER for the distribution system only exists where there's

00:32:21.839 --> 00:32:26.639
SPEAKER_00:  a distribution system constraint and it only exists until SMUD builds the upgrade to alleviate that

00:32:26.639 --> 00:32:32.079
SPEAKER_00:  type of bottleneck. So as SMUD goes forward and tries to build out programs that help them

00:32:32.079 --> 00:32:36.799
SPEAKER_00:  capture locational value of DER, there are a few key coordination challenges they need to

00:32:36.799 --> 00:32:41.680
SPEAKER_00:  think about. SMUD's customer programs teams need to really understand when and where there are

00:32:41.759 --> 00:32:45.840
SPEAKER_00:  distribution system constraints and when and where they might be able to help distribution

00:32:45.840 --> 00:32:52.000
SPEAKER_00:  planning leverage those DERs for distribution capacity deferral. Another key coordination

00:32:52.000 --> 00:32:56.160
SPEAKER_00:  challenge is between distribution planning and resource planning. If distribution planning is

00:32:56.160 --> 00:33:02.480
SPEAKER_00:  intending to leverage a collection of DERs for a non-wire solution alternative, resource planning

00:33:02.480 --> 00:33:06.160
SPEAKER_00:  needs to understand how distribution planning is going to need to dispatch that resource for their

00:33:06.160 --> 00:33:10.799
SPEAKER_00:  distribution peak needs and how that might diminish the ability of resource planning to use that as a

00:33:10.799 --> 00:33:23.839
SPEAKER_00:  generation capacity resource. This is basically, hey, we can target a specific substation of

00:33:23.839 --> 00:33:30.079
SPEAKER_06:  transformers as opposed to just the buckshot of our DER program going out to the region. Yes,

00:33:30.079 --> 00:33:32.240
SPEAKER_00:  exactly. Good clarification.

00:33:41.359 --> 00:33:48.079
Unknown:  So in addition to the scenario analysis we did in the study, we also took a look at the opportunity

00:33:48.079 --> 00:33:54.079
SPEAKER_00:  to deploy targeted DER in specific locations to defer distribution upgrade needs and non-wire

00:33:54.079 --> 00:34:00.159
SPEAKER_00:  solutions alternatives. So we did this analysis assessing what we were to describe as the economic

00:34:00.159 --> 00:34:05.680
SPEAKER_00:  potential. Where would it be cost effective to defer some of those 36 substation upgrades we

00:34:05.680 --> 00:34:11.200
SPEAKER_00:  identified in the reference scenario by deploying managed charging targeted in those specific

00:34:11.200 --> 00:34:16.720
SPEAKER_00:  locations or distributed storage. And what we identified is there's a lot of economic potential

00:34:16.720 --> 00:34:21.200
SPEAKER_00:  out there to defer distribution upgrades. There are a lot of challenges to realizing that potential,

00:34:21.200 --> 00:34:27.039
SPEAKER_00:  however. And Spud is kind of addressing those today by thinking about what makes a good economic

00:34:27.039 --> 00:34:31.840
SPEAKER_00:  investment in non-wire solutions and thinking about, you know, when is the risk appropriate to

00:34:31.840 --> 00:34:36.240
SPEAKER_00:  be able to invest in this solution, thinking about how technologies are going to be ready to

00:34:36.240 --> 00:34:41.200
SPEAKER_00:  be able to deploy in a non-wire solution, and getting proactive stance about thinking about

00:34:41.200 --> 00:34:51.920
SPEAKER_00:  how you're designing these programs. Another key finding I want to land on here,

00:34:51.920 --> 00:34:56.960
SPEAKER_00:  and this is really relevant to your upcoming discussion about your IRP, is that distributed

00:34:56.960 --> 00:35:02.720
SPEAKER_00:  storage or DERs really have this value stacking opportunity. They have value across the generation,

00:35:02.720 --> 00:35:09.280
SPEAKER_00:  transmission, and distribution system chain. And so when you're thinking about investment in bulk

00:35:09.280 --> 00:35:13.599
SPEAKER_00:  system storage, there's a key question to think about. Would it be more cost effective to cite

00:35:13.599 --> 00:35:18.320
SPEAKER_00:  some of that in the distribution system? Thinking about that DER in the distribution system can help

00:35:18.320 --> 00:35:23.199
SPEAKER_00:  you serve your generation capacity needs that storage would provide while also providing some

00:35:23.199 --> 00:35:29.759
SPEAKER_00:  distribution system value. So in this chart here, the purple box on the left is from Smud's zero

00:35:29.759 --> 00:35:35.839
SPEAKER_00:  carbon plan, I think 2021. That study back then identified a need for bulk system storage to hit

00:35:35.839 --> 00:35:42.879
SPEAKER_00:  the 2030 goal around the range of 700 to 1100 megawatts. On the right here, these red lines are

00:35:42.879 --> 00:35:49.839
SPEAKER_00:  illustrating how much storage on the distribution system has distribution value. So not everywhere

00:35:49.920 --> 00:35:53.920
SPEAKER_00:  in the distribution system has a constraint. So putting storage there does not give it distribution

00:35:53.920 --> 00:35:58.480
SPEAKER_00:  system value. But there are certain locations where if you deployed some storage, you could

00:35:58.480 --> 00:36:03.280
SPEAKER_00:  defer a substation for three or ten years. And so that's what's illustrated here in those red lines.

00:36:04.079 --> 00:36:08.000
SPEAKER_00:  Now, distributed storage usually comes at a cost premium compared to bulk system storage.

00:36:08.720 --> 00:36:12.880
SPEAKER_00:  Just the economy is a scale, procurement costs, other kinds of soft costs that come with procuring

00:36:12.880 --> 00:36:17.280
SPEAKER_00:  resources of a smaller size. So what the green lines here are illustrating is just kind of

00:36:17.280 --> 00:36:22.720
SPEAKER_00:  ether's estimate of what we think of as a typical cost premium for distributed storage. How much of

00:36:22.720 --> 00:36:28.320
SPEAKER_00:  that distributed storage might be cost effective when you factor in its locational value to be

00:36:28.320 --> 00:36:31.840
SPEAKER_00:  able to maybe display some of that bulk system asset that you might deploy instead.

00:36:37.680 --> 00:36:41.040
SPEAKER_00:  I'll just wrap up with kind of a brief summary of what we just went through today here.

00:36:42.400 --> 00:36:45.600
SPEAKER_00:  First key finding of the study was that significant load growth is coming.

00:36:46.319 --> 00:36:48.960
SPEAKER_00:  But we expect this to generate downward rate pressure for SMUD.

00:36:50.239 --> 00:36:55.119
SPEAKER_00:  Load management, nonwire solutions are key tools that SMUD can deploy to try to maximize that

00:36:55.119 --> 00:37:01.679
SPEAKER_00:  downward rate pressure. Another key finding is that enabling load growth, all this electrification

00:37:01.679 --> 00:37:05.679
SPEAKER_00:  load to meet economy-wide decarbonization goals is going to require some upfront investment in

00:37:05.679 --> 00:37:10.719
SPEAKER_00:  staffing and capital projects. We're expecting that SMUD's annual volume of distribution system

00:37:10.719 --> 00:37:15.679
SPEAKER_00:  upgrades can increase by a rate of 30 to 60 percent per year. We also found that there's

00:37:15.679 --> 00:37:20.159
SPEAKER_00:  significant potential to use managed charging and nonwire solutions to reduce the incremental

00:37:20.159 --> 00:37:26.000
SPEAKER_00:  distribution substation upgrade need. There's significant barriers to really realizing that

00:37:26.000 --> 00:37:30.159
SPEAKER_00:  and SMUD needs to take a proactive stance of defining what makes a good nonwire solution

00:37:30.159 --> 00:37:34.719
SPEAKER_00:  investment, what kind of risk management does SMUD want to deploy in those, getting ready to

00:37:34.719 --> 00:37:39.919
SPEAKER_00:  enable customers to participate in those types of programs and getting all their ADMS terms

00:37:39.920 --> 00:37:46.320
SPEAKER_00:  and technology ready to be able to leverage DRs for that use. The last key finding is just that

00:37:46.320 --> 00:37:51.760
SPEAKER_00:  load management enables SMUD to think about new coordination pathways between different planning

00:37:51.760 --> 00:37:57.200
SPEAKER_00:  groups at SMUD, thinking about how to leverage DRs as both a distribution system asset and a bulk

00:37:57.200 --> 00:38:02.800
SPEAKER_00:  system asset to kind of minimize total system costs. So with that, I'll wrap up there and

00:38:03.120 --> 00:38:04.800
SPEAKER_00:  then there's questions. Otherwise, I'll hand it over to Alex.

00:38:04.800 --> 00:38:14.720
SPEAKER_00:  Yeah. Two points I want to make. Actually, if you could jump back two slides to your part,

00:38:14.720 --> 00:38:20.480
SPEAKER_06:  that one. Could you just explain a little bit what these different cost numbers we're seeing

00:38:20.480 --> 00:38:27.280
SPEAKER_06:  on the bottom are actually, you actually mean? Yeah. So these are the costs of two-hour distributed

00:38:27.280 --> 00:38:32.080
SPEAKER_00:  storage, which is the resource we assumed in this particular chart. We did this in classes with other

00:38:32.079 --> 00:38:36.719
SPEAKER_00:  types of DRs, too, but in this particular chart is the resource that SMUD is deploying to defer

00:38:36.719 --> 00:38:42.559
SPEAKER_00:  distribution upgrade. We looked at this for a range of costs. SMUD is out there thinking,

00:38:42.559 --> 00:38:46.319
SPEAKER_00:  talking to vendors all the time, thinking about what resources they might be able to procure.

00:38:48.960 --> 00:38:52.559
SPEAKER_00:  SMUD is trying to develop these in the US. They're going to get more bids and understand these costs

00:38:52.559 --> 00:38:57.679
SPEAKER_00:  more. So we really just wanted to characterize a range of potential by looking at a wide range

00:38:57.759 --> 00:39:04.879
SPEAKER_00:  of resource costs. So there's a very low cost estimate there and then some analysis that E3

00:39:04.879 --> 00:39:11.440
SPEAKER_00:  conducted that's aligned with some of the cost impact. So on that gray bar,

00:39:14.000 --> 00:39:21.519
Unknown:  it's got a slide. We never got the colors. So you have 36 potential substations and you're saying

00:39:21.519 --> 00:39:28.239
SPEAKER_06:  32 of those can be deferred by at a cost of $95 per kilowatt year. You may interpret that right?

00:39:28.239 --> 00:39:32.000
SPEAKER_06:  Yeah. It could be deferred for seven years if you have storage available at that cost.

00:39:34.880 --> 00:39:41.360
Unknown:  Okay. Interesting. And then my comment, I thought what was interesting with this chart is it's very

00:39:41.360 --> 00:39:46.719
SPEAKER_06:  clear you see the difference between the public power business model and the IOU business model.

00:39:46.719 --> 00:39:55.439
SPEAKER_06:  Where we don't have an inherent incentive to spend on capital and to add to our bottom line.

00:39:55.439 --> 00:40:00.480
SPEAKER_06:  And so I think it's everywhere we're very interested in that flexibility and being

00:40:00.480 --> 00:40:05.039
SPEAKER_06:  creative. However we can save money, we're going to save money to help keep our rates low.

00:40:06.559 --> 00:40:11.039
SPEAKER_06:  And then the last point, I think back to that summary slide. The only other point I wanted to

00:40:11.519 --> 00:40:18.239
SPEAKER_06:  last bullet here, I wrote a note for it, it popped up, is how important it is for us to think

00:40:18.239 --> 00:40:24.559
SPEAKER_06:  creatively and cross cutting across the organization. I know I had some issues with one of the circuits

00:40:24.559 --> 00:40:32.000
SPEAKER_06:  in my ward where they're on a bluff. So there's only one way in and it always impacts their

00:40:32.000 --> 00:40:36.239
SPEAKER_06:  ability to have when there's a storm, they're often out and they're out for days at a time

00:40:36.239 --> 00:40:41.359
SPEAKER_06:  because there's only 40 homes served. So they get put on the low priority list automatically

00:40:41.359 --> 00:40:48.399
SPEAKER_06:  when somebody 30,000 homes are out. But I said, why don't we offer them our virtual power home

00:40:48.399 --> 00:40:54.239
SPEAKER_06:  battery program. But there's a lot of inertia inside the organization where there's a lot of

00:40:54.239 --> 00:40:59.359
SPEAKER_06:  business students that have to communicate and swap back and forth. But part of this analysis

00:40:59.359 --> 00:41:04.079
SPEAKER_06:  is really showing just the importance of trying to break down those barriers and think creatively

00:41:04.079 --> 00:41:10.239
SPEAKER_06:  about solutions and getting to yes versus just oh, no, we can't do it. So thank you for this. I

00:41:10.239 --> 00:41:20.880
SPEAKER_06:  think it was a great presentation. Okay. I think you're up.

00:41:27.519 --> 00:41:31.679
Unknown:  Good evening, everyone. I'm Andeep Singh. I'm the director of distribution planning and operations.

00:41:31.919 --> 00:41:38.480
SPEAKER_02:  And it's my team's responsibility to plan and operate our grid. On the distribution side,

00:41:38.480 --> 00:41:44.639
SPEAKER_02:  we plan on two-year cycles, we plan on five-year cycles, and on the transmission side, we plan in

00:41:44.639 --> 00:41:51.839
SPEAKER_02:  10-year cycles or 20-year cycles. We plan for future load growth, just like what was presented

00:41:51.839 --> 00:41:57.440
SPEAKER_02:  to us. We plan for contingencies. We plan for regulatory compliance and we plan for weather

00:41:57.440 --> 00:42:04.960
SPEAKER_02:  events. And studies like such that was presented to us, they're extremely important to us because

00:42:04.960 --> 00:42:11.599
SPEAKER_02:  they help us plan better. For today, we're going to concentrate on distribution planning because

00:42:11.599 --> 00:42:17.440
SPEAKER_02:  that's where the EVs are going to be connected. So let's walk through our distribution planning

00:42:17.440 --> 00:42:26.240
SPEAKER_02:  process. What inputs inform our forecast? We look at our historical peak load for the last few years

00:42:26.959 --> 00:42:33.919
SPEAKER_02:  and then we look at our new customer demand that's coming. And that combination provides us

00:42:35.439 --> 00:42:42.239
SPEAKER_02:  the demand to create a five-year distribution forecast. And once that five-year forecast is

00:42:43.279 --> 00:42:49.759
SPEAKER_02:  achieved, then we identify the capacity needs. We compare the forecasted demand with available

00:42:49.760 --> 00:42:56.320
SPEAKER_02:  capacity to identify where and when the deficiencies are expected. And when those

00:42:56.320 --> 00:43:01.360
SPEAKER_02:  deficiencies are identified, then we look for the mitigation measures. And the mitigation measures

00:43:01.360 --> 00:43:08.640
SPEAKER_02:  could be seasonal load transfers, they could be switching loads, they could be substation upgrades,

00:43:08.640 --> 00:43:14.640
SPEAKER_02:  just like adding a new transformer to a substation or adding more capacity, or it could be a brand

00:43:14.719 --> 00:43:22.079
SPEAKER_02:  new substation build. And if there's a large load that comes outside of this planning process,

00:43:22.960 --> 00:43:27.599
Unknown:  we work closely with our commercial development and strategic count teams to support the large

00:43:27.599 --> 00:43:34.879
SPEAKER_02:  load projects. We have Rule 2 and Rule 16 that helps us guide that process for the large loads

00:43:34.879 --> 00:43:40.639
SPEAKER_02:  on the distribution side. And as you all know, for the transmission side, we are working to develop

00:43:40.639 --> 00:43:45.759
SPEAKER_02:  a large load policy on the transmission side. But today we're talking about distribution.

00:43:47.119 --> 00:43:54.480
SPEAKER_02:  So our distribution forecast, which is a five-year forecast, it informs our 10-year and 20-year

00:43:54.480 --> 00:44:01.119
SPEAKER_02:  forecast for transmission as well as the integrated or the resource planning forecast for the 20-year.

00:44:05.440 --> 00:44:08.719
SPEAKER_02:  Let's talk about the EV impacts that were identified in the study.

00:44:10.639 --> 00:44:17.599
SPEAKER_02:  EVs along with the DERs will change our grid. Our grid used to be a unidirectional grid where

00:44:17.599 --> 00:44:23.440
SPEAKER_02:  we have our generation all the way to distribution and the power used to flow one way. With the

00:44:23.440 --> 00:44:29.679
SPEAKER_02:  evolution of EVs as well as DERs, the grid has become bidirectional grid. And the bidirectional

00:44:29.679 --> 00:44:34.960
SPEAKER_02:  grid triggers the need for new and greater cross-functional efforts to manage unique loads

00:44:34.960 --> 00:44:42.880
SPEAKER_02:  with evolving load profiles. EVs are different. The forecasts for EV growth are uncertain.

00:44:42.880 --> 00:44:46.639
SPEAKER_02:  So we assume that the growth will be incremental and it will be evolving.

00:44:47.440 --> 00:44:52.159
Unknown:  They have unique load profiles. We saw in one of the graphs that was shown by E3 that

00:44:53.519 --> 00:44:57.519
SPEAKER_02:  they have different peaks. Our peaks might be shifting from our traditional peaks.

00:44:58.239 --> 00:45:04.960
SPEAKER_02:  So we account for those as well. The idea always is, and Mikaela touched on that,

00:45:04.960 --> 00:45:11.679
SPEAKER_02:  our aim is to always increase our existing system utilization through new technology and

00:45:11.679 --> 00:45:16.639
SPEAKER_02:  ongoing pilots. We're constantly looking at utilizing our grid very efficiently to

00:45:18.239 --> 00:45:24.559
SPEAKER_02:  prevent unnecessary infrastructure upgrades. It's always our goal to utilize our existing resources.

00:45:25.519 --> 00:45:29.920
SPEAKER_02:  And looking forward, we're looking at non-wire solutions. And non-wire solutions could be the

00:45:29.920 --> 00:45:35.199
SPEAKER_02:  DERs. They could be batteries. They could be working with our customers and look at load flex

00:45:35.199 --> 00:45:40.799
SPEAKER_02:  options and demand forecasts as well. Many options there. But we're constantly looking at that.

00:45:41.679 --> 00:45:46.320
SPEAKER_02:  So the key takeaway on this slide is that the EV growth will introduce new complexities,

00:45:46.320 --> 00:45:51.519
SPEAKER_02:  and we're aware of that. But it will also introduce new opportunities to innovate and plan for a

00:45:51.599 --> 00:45:54.639
SPEAKER_02:  smarter, flexible, and reliable grid in the future.

00:45:58.239 --> 00:46:05.519
SPEAKER_02:  What are we doing with this information? What are some of the ongoing efforts, as it was touched by

00:46:05.519 --> 00:46:11.360
SPEAKER_02:  E3? We anticipated this. We anticipated this was coming. So we are already ahead of the game.

00:46:11.920 --> 00:46:18.559
SPEAKER_02:  We have invested in our system in efforts like Advanced Distribution Management System, ADMS,

00:46:19.440 --> 00:46:23.360
SPEAKER_02:  Distribution or Distributed Energy Resource Management System, DERMs,

00:46:24.960 --> 00:46:31.039
SPEAKER_02:  as well as our Advanced Metering. These tools allow us to gain more visibility and control into

00:46:31.039 --> 00:46:35.360
SPEAKER_02:  our grid, which is, like I mentioned, it's evolving and it's becoming bi-directional grid.

00:46:36.079 --> 00:46:43.519
Unknown:  We have a new forecast tool now that allows us to do hourly forecasts that predict load growth

00:46:43.519 --> 00:46:49.759
SPEAKER_02:  while accounting for the impacts of DERs and EVs at a more granular level. Our traditional

00:46:49.759 --> 00:46:56.400
SPEAKER_02:  planning process used to work on peak-based planning. It was a static planning that we used

00:46:56.400 --> 00:47:01.759
SPEAKER_02:  to perform that would look at the peak loads and we would perform distribution planning based on

00:47:01.759 --> 00:47:09.360
SPEAKER_02:  that. This tool, LoadSear, as was mentioned in the previous slides, it allows us to look at

00:47:09.360 --> 00:47:16.400
SPEAKER_02:  the entire 8,760 hours during the year to look at the granular level to see how the loads are

00:47:16.400 --> 00:47:23.680
SPEAKER_02:  shifting and what can we do to efficiently utilize our grid. For our future mitigation measures,

00:47:24.480 --> 00:47:29.200
SPEAKER_02:  as I mentioned, we are looking at non-wire solutions that could include managed charging,

00:47:29.760 --> 00:47:34.400
SPEAKER_02:  load flexing, storage, renewables and demand response options.

00:47:34.400 --> 00:47:40.880
SPEAKER_02:  Our next steps, obviously, would be incorporating the learnings from this study as well as the IRP

00:47:40.880 --> 00:47:46.160
SPEAKER_02:  study that's upcoming into SMUD's planning processes while preparing for new mitigation

00:47:46.160 --> 00:47:51.599
SPEAKER_02:  measures that will support for greater transportation electrification in an affordable and reliable

00:47:51.599 --> 00:47:59.360
SPEAKER_02:  manner. What are some of the opportunities that we're preparing for the new integrated system

00:47:59.360 --> 00:48:05.280
SPEAKER_02:  planning process, which I'll talk about in the next slide, by developing a process to align

00:48:05.280 --> 00:48:12.160
SPEAKER_02:  infrastructure investments across SMUD, multiple departments, to identify the lowest cost,

00:48:12.160 --> 00:48:18.559
SPEAKER_02:  most reliable path forward for us. Our path forward is to leverage data, innovation and

00:48:18.559 --> 00:48:24.960
SPEAKER_02:  integrated planning to meet our evolving customer needs in a more cleaner, more resilient grid.

00:48:24.960 --> 00:48:31.760
SPEAKER_02:  Okay, what is integrated system planning? I know we talked about it, but I thought it would be

00:48:31.760 --> 00:48:38.000
SPEAKER_02:  good to touch on that. Integrated system planning would align our infrastructure investments,

00:48:38.559 --> 00:48:46.159
SPEAKER_02:  rates, managed charging, as well as DERs to identify the lowest cost, most reliable path forward to

00:48:46.159 --> 00:48:52.800
SPEAKER_02:  serve our future load. And some of the key outcomes there would be cross-functional alignment,

00:48:53.760 --> 00:48:58.160
Unknown:  shared understanding of the system needs. So instead of planning for distribution,

00:48:58.160 --> 00:49:04.640
SPEAKER_02:  generation and transmission, separately we would plan for the entire grid in one shot. And then

00:49:04.640 --> 00:49:11.680
SPEAKER_02:  more informed investment decisions, which are the obvious outcome for this. For the EVs and the DERs,

00:49:11.680 --> 00:49:18.080
SPEAKER_02:  we will leverage the integrated resource plan to align our EV demand growth with siding renewable

00:49:18.079 --> 00:49:23.840
SPEAKER_02:  generation, storage, flexible loads and managed charging to support our decarbonization goals.

00:49:24.400 --> 00:49:29.279
SPEAKER_02:  And again, the key outcome would be holistic planning across the grid. So we would plan the

00:49:29.279 --> 00:49:36.960
SPEAKER_02:  grid as a whole instead of planning separately for different sections. The strategy will support

00:49:36.960 --> 00:49:42.880
SPEAKER_02:  decarbonization and reliability, and it optimizes the use of our existing and new resources.

00:49:43.840 --> 00:49:50.160
Unknown:  And then we plan for uncertainty as well. We are going to use scenario analysis. We now have tools

00:49:50.160 --> 00:49:56.640
SPEAKER_02:  that would help us generate scenario analysis to account for changes in vehicle costs, charging

00:49:56.640 --> 00:50:01.760
SPEAKER_02:  availability, incentives, fleet adoption and customer behavior. So we would have different

00:50:02.880 --> 00:50:11.760
SPEAKER_02:  graphs showing these different scenarios, and then we could utilize that to plan better. And the key

00:50:11.840 --> 00:50:18.320
SPEAKER_02:  outcomes, obviously, range of potential futures. It informs flexible and adaptive strategies and a

00:50:18.320 --> 00:50:25.360
SPEAKER_02:  reliable and a cost-effective path forward. So all in all, by integrating EV and DER growth into our

00:50:25.360 --> 00:50:31.520
SPEAKER_02:  planning processes, we're prepared to meet our evolving customer needs while advancing a cleaner,

00:50:31.520 --> 00:50:37.520
SPEAKER_02:  more reliable and affordable energy future. That concludes our presentation. Thank you.

00:50:37.519 --> 00:50:45.280
SPEAKER_02:  Questions from the board? Rob?

00:50:49.679 --> 00:50:53.360
Unknown:  Appreciate it. Thank you very much for a great presentation. I actually have a

00:50:54.320 --> 00:51:00.800
SPEAKER_07:  question going back to the E3 presentation. In particular, there are several places where we

00:51:00.800 --> 00:51:07.760
SPEAKER_07:  talk about increased sales leading to downward rate pressure. And I'm curious what the

00:51:08.800 --> 00:51:13.440
SPEAKER_07:  costing model is for the energy that we use to actually sell to people.

00:51:19.120 --> 00:51:23.600
Unknown:  Maybe I can walk through. Page 9, maybe. Yeah, I'll walk through the chart a bit more.

00:51:23.600 --> 00:51:30.480
SPEAKER_00:  This one you're thinking about? This, yeah. Yeah. So what we have on the top here are the distribution

00:51:30.559 --> 00:51:34.559
SPEAKER_00:  investments we identified. So what are the cost of those? So just looking at the kind of capital

00:51:34.559 --> 00:51:39.360
SPEAKER_00:  cost, we had a simple revenue requirement model that we used to think about how those costs,

00:51:39.360 --> 00:51:44.240
SPEAKER_00:  offering costs, get spread over time. Worked with SMUD's financial planning folks to help us develop

00:51:44.240 --> 00:51:50.480
SPEAKER_00:  those assumptions. The blue bars are basically taking the load growth, we're expecting the

00:51:50.480 --> 00:51:56.719
SPEAKER_00:  incremental load growth, and multiplying it by 8 cents per KWH, which again came from SMUD's

00:51:57.279 --> 00:52:02.239
SPEAKER_00:  team, thinking about in your current rates, how much of the rate is really recovering the

00:52:02.239 --> 00:52:10.000
SPEAKER_00:  distribution component of costs? So we just used a flat rate of 8 cents per KWH. Yep, flat nominal terms.

00:52:14.239 --> 00:52:16.159
Unknown:  Thanks. That was my question. I appreciate it.

00:52:19.679 --> 00:52:21.919
Unknown:  Anybody else? Brandon?

00:52:22.720 --> 00:52:33.599
Unknown:  Yeah. One of the things I was thinking about, are there any potential barriers to this type of work?

00:52:35.119 --> 00:52:44.079
SPEAKER_06:  And so I understand, I have a decent understanding of IOU planning processes and ways like regulators

00:52:44.079 --> 00:52:52.639
SPEAKER_06:  can say no, but do we have any NERC requirements that we have to think about? Are there any

00:52:52.639 --> 00:53:00.319
SPEAKER_06:  potential barriers that we need to overcome to do this type of work other than our own internal

00:53:01.199 --> 00:53:09.599
SPEAKER_06:  ability to do it? On the distribution side, I would say no. NERC regulations would not apply

00:53:09.599 --> 00:53:17.119
SPEAKER_02:  on the distribution loads, especially on the low distribution, 12 KV or under. So that's that.

00:53:18.239 --> 00:53:25.759
SPEAKER_02:  Internally, as you all are aware, LoRa is rolling out our ISP strategy, so that would allow us to

00:53:26.719 --> 00:53:34.319
SPEAKER_02:  work together and plan for the grid in a holistic way. So we're really looking forward to that.

00:53:34.320 --> 00:53:39.360
SPEAKER_02:  I think that would eliminate any of the shortcomings that we had in the planning process.

00:53:43.680 --> 00:53:47.519
SPEAKER_06:  Remember we did some of the black and beech work, which is going to be racial work.

00:53:52.720 --> 00:53:58.400
SPEAKER_06:  But that really looked, that was a lot of preliminary work, looking at the edge of grid

00:53:58.400 --> 00:54:06.559
SPEAKER_06:  on a circuit by circuit basis. I guess one of my questions is given our high penetration of

00:54:06.559 --> 00:54:11.599
SPEAKER_06:  especially electric vehicles and to a lesser extent building electrification, what is that

00:54:11.599 --> 00:54:15.440
SPEAKER_06:  current status on our distribution system? Rachel, you were just here last month talking about

00:54:16.240 --> 00:54:21.840
Unknown:  the statuses of the programs. Yeah, and maybe what I'll speak to, because I smile that you bring up

00:54:21.840 --> 00:54:25.920
SPEAKER_03:  the black and beech analysis, because that was really the start, right? That was the groundbreaking,

00:54:25.920 --> 00:54:31.119
SPEAKER_03:  like how do we estimate what we think customer adoption of some of these DER technologies will

00:54:31.119 --> 00:54:37.200
SPEAKER_03:  be and where will they be? Like how do we think about the forecasting of what that adoption will

00:54:37.200 --> 00:54:42.880
SPEAKER_03:  look like, both based upon demographic and psychographic proclivity to adopt, coupled with

00:54:42.880 --> 00:54:49.280
SPEAKER_03:  putting it on a geospatial basis on our distribution system and trying to line that up relative to the

00:54:49.280 --> 00:54:55.280
SPEAKER_03:  grid implications with the customer adoption? And really we've just continued to evolve since

00:54:55.280 --> 00:55:01.760
SPEAKER_03:  then, right? So those projections back in 2015 are not what we are projecting today in terms of

00:55:01.760 --> 00:55:07.200
SPEAKER_03:  forecasts. In fact, as we were looking at forecasts with regards to electrification adoption and the

00:55:07.200 --> 00:55:12.320
SPEAKER_03:  different DER adoptions to feed into the integrated resources plan analysis, that's evolved too,

00:55:12.320 --> 00:55:17.440
SPEAKER_03:  right? Even this analysis was started, I guess it was last year, right? And so didn't necessarily

00:55:17.440 --> 00:55:24.240
SPEAKER_03:  have all of that federal policy pullback. So that kind of speaks to the uncertainty of the information

00:55:25.280 --> 00:55:30.320
SPEAKER_03:  again by looking at scenarios and bookends, it helps inform us of kind of the space in which we

00:55:30.320 --> 00:55:35.120
SPEAKER_03:  know something will come together. But it goes back to that, it doesn't give us a definitive

00:55:35.120 --> 00:55:41.120
SPEAKER_03:  analysis. So we just continue to refine based upon the knowledge that we have based upon analysis

00:55:41.120 --> 00:55:46.960
SPEAKER_03:  to be able to help best inform what we do. But it continually iterates because of the

00:55:46.960 --> 00:55:50.000
SPEAKER_03:  fact that there's multiple dynamics that factor into what that looks like.

00:55:50.719 --> 00:55:56.639
Unknown:  And then one last, my last sort of comment, as a might sort of take away from this is to say,

00:55:56.639 --> 00:56:02.159
SPEAKER_06:  yes, there's sort of the results of the study, yes, there's value to be had. And yes, we need to

00:56:02.159 --> 00:56:08.079
SPEAKER_06:  coordinate to unlock that value. I guess my question from policy governance perspective is,

00:56:08.079 --> 00:56:12.719
SPEAKER_06:  what do you, what can I monitor to ensure that we're progressing down that path?

00:56:13.199 --> 00:56:22.399
Unknown:  That's a wonderful question. You know, there's really, at the end of the day, and maybe this

00:56:22.399 --> 00:56:28.000
SPEAKER_03:  is nice that it's that slide, right, we want to see that downward pressure on rates. We want to

00:56:28.000 --> 00:56:35.759
SPEAKER_03:  see that the revenue, that as we think about the costs that we're managing that right, that we're

00:56:35.759 --> 00:56:41.599
SPEAKER_03:  we're utilizing our assets as much as possible. So I think that we'll be looking at, like,

00:56:41.599 --> 00:56:46.000
SPEAKER_03:  it really is looking at success criteria, right? So currently I come and tell you, like, hey,

00:56:46.000 --> 00:56:50.719
SPEAKER_03:  this is the EV adoption in SMUD's territory and this is the heat pumps and these are these things.

00:56:50.719 --> 00:56:54.799
SPEAKER_03:  It's really reframing and looking at what does success look like. Maybe it's that

00:56:54.799 --> 00:56:59.519
SPEAKER_03:  net revenue. Maybe it's that, like, what are we seeing in terms of costs versus what are we

00:56:59.519 --> 00:57:04.880
Unknown:  relative to the revenue as we look at what that EV adoption is. So I think it's really looking

00:57:04.880 --> 00:57:08.400
SPEAKER_03:  at what success is and then kind of redefining what those numbers are that we track.

00:57:11.599 --> 00:57:18.719
Unknown:  Yeah, so there's a couple places in the E3 presentation where we talked about

00:57:18.719 --> 00:57:25.599
SPEAKER_09:  locationally targeted programs and the benefits of that. Do we have, we had any, I realize that

00:57:25.599 --> 00:57:31.679
SPEAKER_09:  we're putting some of the hardware in place, but have we had any programs that are locationally

00:57:32.400 --> 00:57:40.799
SPEAKER_09:  targeted and even if we don't have those right now, how do we imagine those being rolled out

00:57:40.800 --> 00:57:49.360
SPEAKER_09:  and, you know, who would, are there, like, socioeconomic issues that come up with that?

00:57:49.360 --> 00:57:55.200
SPEAKER_03:  Yeah, a couple things. And I think I've talked to the board multiple times as this, you know,

00:57:55.200 --> 00:58:00.720
SPEAKER_03:  has evolved as we've done all this geospatial analysis with regards to where we see load growth

00:58:00.720 --> 00:58:05.039
SPEAKER_03:  being and what the implications are in the distribution grid. We do not have anything

00:58:05.039 --> 00:58:12.159
SPEAKER_03:  right now where we differentiate the incentives based upon locational value. So we don't say,

00:58:12.159 --> 00:58:16.559
SPEAKER_03:  okay, you customer over here, you get a higher incentive than you customer over there.

00:58:16.559 --> 00:58:21.599
SPEAKER_03:  That being said, we've talked, I've talked to you about our managed EV charging pilot,

00:58:21.599 --> 00:58:26.000
SPEAKER_03:  which we ran out of R&D and did analysis and we're in the process because we've got an RFP

00:58:26.000 --> 00:58:31.599
SPEAKER_03:  on the street and we're, you know, evaluating bids with regards to a new provider relative to

00:58:31.599 --> 00:58:37.039
SPEAKER_03:  operationalizing our managed EV charging program. And in order for the numbers to work, so this

00:58:37.039 --> 00:58:42.239
SPEAKER_03:  goes back to that financial model business case, in order for those numbers to work, we're going to

00:58:42.239 --> 00:58:48.799
SPEAKER_03:  have to try to encourage those customers that are behind specific transformers that we know either

00:58:48.799 --> 00:58:53.279
SPEAKER_03:  have a certain number of EV customers on there or that we forecast that additional EVs will come on

00:58:53.279 --> 00:58:59.119
SPEAKER_03:  there and potentially overload those transformers for the value proposition to work. So as such,

00:58:59.759 --> 00:59:04.559
Unknown:  for that managed EV charging program, when we do launch that operational model next year,

00:59:04.559 --> 00:59:08.799
SPEAKER_03:  we're not going to say, hey, you get this dollar and you get this lower dollar. We're going to say,

00:59:08.799 --> 00:59:14.799
SPEAKER_03:  we're going to target market to those customers behind those constrained transformers. Similarly,

00:59:14.799 --> 00:59:21.759
SPEAKER_03:  with the commercial VPP pilot, we are picking commercial customers behind specific substations

00:59:21.759 --> 00:59:26.799
SPEAKER_03:  that are at that sweet spot of, you know, not already on our capital plan, we're already

00:59:26.800 --> 00:59:31.280
SPEAKER_03:  working on upgrading that substation. Not so far out that we don't really know whether or not we're

00:59:31.280 --> 00:59:36.880
SPEAKER_03:  going to have to upgrade that substation or not. So we are doing the targeting is the approach that

00:59:36.880 --> 00:59:40.640
SPEAKER_03:  we're taking. But it is a conversation we're going to have to have with the board at some point of,

00:59:40.640 --> 00:59:44.560
SPEAKER_03:  like, do we ever get to that point where we differentiate? But currently our approach

00:59:44.560 --> 00:59:49.039
SPEAKER_03:  is really about targeting outreach to those customers and enrolling those customers

00:59:49.039 --> 00:59:53.120
SPEAKER_03:  where we know that they can have the best value for SMUD. Thank you.

00:59:56.800 --> 01:00:06.640
SPEAKER_08:  Sure. Thanks. I'm thinking just a little bit about, really, these are situational decisions

01:00:06.640 --> 01:00:14.560
SPEAKER_07:  depending on where the consumer falls within the region. At what point do we start to talk to the

01:00:14.560 --> 01:00:22.720
SPEAKER_07:  local land use authorities as to what fits where within the service area? Do we ever want to try

01:00:22.719 --> 01:00:27.599
SPEAKER_07:  and say, no, you should be putting these uses in a different place so that we can serve them more

01:00:27.599 --> 01:00:33.759
SPEAKER_07:  efficiently? I know we say that with the data centers, but when do we come down the size threshold?

01:00:36.959 --> 01:00:40.719
Unknown:  I'll speak to it from a customer standpoint and maybe Amadeep can speak to it from a good

01:00:40.719 --> 01:00:48.000
SPEAKER_03:  standpoint. One thing that we have tried to do in all of this, you know, customer adoption,

01:00:48.000 --> 01:00:56.239
SPEAKER_03:  geospatial analysis approach has been how do we triangulate multiple sources of data to see where

01:00:56.800 --> 01:01:03.199
SPEAKER_03:  you can potentially de-risk focusing in that area first? Does that make sense? So one example is

01:01:03.199 --> 01:01:08.000
Unknown:  for our medium and heavy duty vehicle electrification, we had that CEC funded roadmap

01:01:08.000 --> 01:01:12.800
Unknown:  where we interviewed the top 100 commercial fleets to understand what their electrification

01:01:12.800 --> 01:01:16.320
SPEAKER_03:  plans were for medium heavy duty vehicle electrification. Then we looked at it from

01:01:16.400 --> 01:01:20.960
SPEAKER_03:  a distribution grid standpoint and said, okay, where are multiple fleets planning to electrify

01:01:20.960 --> 01:01:26.400
SPEAKER_03:  on a certain timeframe and where are those spaces on our distribution grid and therefore what is the

01:01:26.960 --> 01:01:32.160
SPEAKER_03:  distribution grid's ability to handle that capacity? So then it gives you some better

01:01:32.160 --> 01:01:37.200
SPEAKER_03:  understanding of where to target because you're using both your customer information as well as

01:01:37.200 --> 01:01:44.080
SPEAKER_03:  your distribution grid information. Some utilities, some IOUs have started doing that like proactive

01:01:44.079 --> 01:01:49.840
SPEAKER_03:  grid investment. A lot of it was due to like EVs and now there's discussions about data centers.

01:01:49.840 --> 01:01:54.799
SPEAKER_03:  But it was really about EVs starting. So Con Edison in New York, for example, has

01:01:54.799 --> 01:02:00.639
Unknown:  CPUC approval to do some proactive investment. And it's those kinds of approaches that, you know,

01:02:00.639 --> 01:02:04.880
SPEAKER_03:  starting with, you know, because your question is do we direct them to be like you should put this

01:02:04.880 --> 01:02:08.719
SPEAKER_03:  here, you should put this here. I think our first step is, you know. I'm looking at it from the other

01:02:08.719 --> 01:02:13.679
SPEAKER_07:  end of the telescope. Yeah. I think. When do we start to say to people, you know, that's really,

01:02:13.679 --> 01:02:17.919
SPEAKER_07:  it's not going to work there very soon. That's probably, and I don't know if, you know, Laura

01:02:17.919 --> 01:02:22.959
SPEAKER_03:  has any perspective or either Laura is like also certain areas are wanting to attract certain

01:02:22.959 --> 01:02:26.879
SPEAKER_03:  businesses in that area and understanding what that is can be an opportunity as well.

01:02:27.919 --> 01:02:32.319
Unknown:  Yeah, I think from a, if you're purely speaking about, Laura, sorry, Chief Executive Officer,

01:02:32.319 --> 01:02:37.439
SPEAKER_05:  if you're purely speaking about electrification, I think most of the time that infrastructure is

01:02:37.440 --> 01:02:40.880
SPEAKER_05:  already there in terms of you've got buildings and homes and they're electrifying, whether it's

01:02:40.880 --> 01:02:46.720
SPEAKER_05:  their fleet or their homes or their businesses. And so I think in those cases, we really do want

01:02:46.720 --> 01:02:51.679
SPEAKER_05:  to help in terms of reducing the emissions from buildings and transportation. So I don't think

01:02:51.679 --> 01:02:55.360
SPEAKER_05:  we would be saying, no, you can't do this here. I think we're really just trying to figure out how

01:02:55.360 --> 01:03:00.400
SPEAKER_05:  do we do it in a way that's cost effective and manage really that'll manage the charging of

01:03:00.400 --> 01:03:05.679
SPEAKER_05:  electrification measures. So that way we're looking at making the most out of our existing system and

01:03:05.679 --> 01:03:14.799
SPEAKER_05:  where we need to doing those upgrades. Thanks. I've got a quick question. I hope it's a quick

01:03:14.799 --> 01:03:22.399
SPEAKER_08:  question. How much visibility do we have and how much, if any, control do we have over third-party

01:03:22.399 --> 01:03:28.079
SPEAKER_08:  charging systems? So whether it's Tesla that just put in six or eight new handles at the grocery

01:03:28.079 --> 01:03:36.000
SPEAKER_08:  store near my house or EVgo or Electrify America, do we have any visibility slash control over those

01:03:36.000 --> 01:03:43.759
SPEAKER_08:  systems? In terms of managing their charging and things like that? Yeah. And potentially, I mean,

01:03:43.759 --> 01:03:50.319
SPEAKER_08:  do we charge them more during peak hours? And then can we, I mean, if we're in some emergency

01:03:50.319 --> 01:03:56.159
SPEAKER_08:  situation, can we turn those off or turn them down or do something? So we have our commercial

01:03:56.159 --> 01:04:01.839
SPEAKER_03:  customer rate. So there's sort of price signals that are built in there. We are working on things

01:04:01.839 --> 01:04:07.679
SPEAKER_03:  like fleet managed charging programs and working with that from our customers as well. We also

01:04:07.679 --> 01:04:12.719
SPEAKER_03:  find that as the Teslas and the other public charging entities are going in, they're also

01:04:12.719 --> 01:04:17.759
SPEAKER_03:  looking at those strategies from a dynamic pricing standpoint as well relative to kind of managing

01:04:17.759 --> 01:04:24.239
SPEAKER_03:  what capacity they have access to as well as sending price signals to their customers as well.

01:04:25.039 --> 01:04:30.719
Unknown:  But we don't have the ability currently, technically, at least to, oh, gee, there's

01:04:30.719 --> 01:04:35.359
SPEAKER_08:  six cars plugged in over there at a location that's about to overload. We can't turn them off.

01:04:35.919 --> 01:04:42.239
SPEAKER_03:  We currently do not have a, we don't have a program offering that does that, but we are looking at those

01:04:42.239 --> 01:04:47.519
SPEAKER_03:  opportunities. Okay. Thank you. I think just to add to that too, we do get applications. So if it's a new

01:04:48.399 --> 01:04:52.879
SPEAKER_05:  connection for new chargers that are going in, like Tesla's putting in a new

01:04:52.880 --> 01:04:58.320
SPEAKER_05:  charging station, we would get an application for service there. So then the system studies that are

01:04:58.320 --> 01:05:04.240
SPEAKER_05:  done in distribution planning actually looks to make sure that we can serve those customers or

01:05:04.240 --> 01:05:09.680
SPEAKER_05:  those charging stations. So it protects our system from, we wouldn't have it connected if we weren't

01:05:09.680 --> 01:05:14.079
SPEAKER_05:  able to serve it. Right, exactly. And then we've also looked at flexible connection opportunities

01:05:14.079 --> 01:05:18.640
SPEAKER_03:  too if someone wants eventual capacity but are willing to provide some flexibility up front to

01:05:18.639 --> 01:05:23.679
SPEAKER_03:  get them from a speed standpoint. Thank you. Director Rose.

01:05:26.480 --> 01:05:30.159
Unknown:  One of the things as Director Kirth was having that discussion is

01:05:31.599 --> 01:05:38.079
SPEAKER_06:  what is the risk of AI, data center, large load interconnection, right? It's adding in

01:05:38.879 --> 01:05:46.239
SPEAKER_06:  transportation electrification, a couple of megawatts here, a few megawatts or even kilowatts.

01:05:46.319 --> 01:05:52.479
SPEAKER_06:  The grid has the capacity to handle that. It's not been a problem. But if you start dropping in

01:05:53.359 --> 01:06:00.879
SPEAKER_06:  20 or 50 plus megawatts, how much is that going to suck up? And is there going to be

01:06:00.879 --> 01:06:05.439
SPEAKER_06:  delineation between our secondary and primary services that I should worry about? Or are we

01:06:05.439 --> 01:06:09.199
SPEAKER_06:  going to jump in a couple of data centers and all of a sudden the distribution grid is going to be

01:06:09.199 --> 01:06:13.599
SPEAKER_06:  completely congested and now the little stuff, the day-to-day little stuff is going to become

01:06:13.599 --> 01:06:21.440
SPEAKER_06:  problematic? So it's the same process. If we had a data center that was coming and asking for

01:06:21.440 --> 01:06:25.839
SPEAKER_05:  service, they would do an application for service. There are system studies that are done within

01:06:25.839 --> 01:06:30.079
SPEAKER_05:  distribution planning and transmission planning if it needs to go on the transmission side.

01:06:30.079 --> 01:06:34.960
SPEAKER_05:  That would inform us on what upgrades are needed in order to support that load. And they wouldn't

01:06:34.960 --> 01:06:41.839
SPEAKER_05:  get connected until we were able to support. I know in our process today, we do recoup those

01:06:41.840 --> 01:06:47.280
SPEAKER_05:  infrastructure costs in terms of from a commercial customer who's installing or who's

01:06:47.280 --> 01:06:52.960
SPEAKER_05:  signing up for new service. We also are working towards having the large load policy that the

01:06:52.960 --> 01:07:01.280
SPEAKER_05:  board's instructed us on. As we progress into the IRP and large load, if it's possible to find a

01:07:01.280 --> 01:07:11.360
SPEAKER_06:  balancing act there between making sure that we're not going to, I guess, sell a resource that's not

01:07:11.440 --> 01:07:17.280
SPEAKER_06:  available to someone smaller who wants a little piece of that to do their project. So I definitely

01:07:17.280 --> 01:07:22.079
SPEAKER_06:  think there will be a balance there. We'll try to figure that out. One person doesn't come in and

01:07:22.079 --> 01:07:28.000
SPEAKER_06:  take up all the bandwidth. So it'll be an ongoing discussion for the next six months.

01:07:28.000 --> 01:07:30.160
SPEAKER_06:  President DeMile.

01:07:30.960 --> 01:07:36.960
Unknown:  Yeah. Thank you. So, Amandeep, this one's for you. It's your last slide and the last box.

01:07:37.920 --> 01:07:43.840
SPEAKER_09:  Talking about uncertainty and that's certainly throughout this whole presentation. So

01:07:45.360 --> 01:07:52.800
SPEAKER_09:  clearly there's a range of potential futures, but what kinds of things would we be doing to

01:07:52.800 --> 01:07:58.159
SPEAKER_09:  maintain our flexibility and to have adaptive strategies and what kind of things,

01:07:59.679 --> 01:08:04.960
Unknown:  how would we be looking at the grid and how things are changing?

01:08:07.679 --> 01:08:13.440
Unknown:  And what kind of lead times do we anticipate to be able to make, oh, it's like, oh, well,

01:08:13.440 --> 01:08:20.880
SPEAKER_09:  we didn't plan this one quite right. What kind of lead time do we think we're going to be able to

01:08:22.880 --> 01:08:31.199
SPEAKER_09:  maintain? It's a combination of things, right? We plan, like I mentioned, we plan in two-year

01:08:31.199 --> 01:08:36.960
SPEAKER_02:  cycles and we plan in five-year cycles. And we plan annually as well. So when we look at our grid

01:08:37.840 --> 01:08:43.920
SPEAKER_02:  as a whole on the distribution side, we take a look at that annually to see where we stand. And

01:08:43.920 --> 01:08:50.399
SPEAKER_02:  then we also do the biannual or every two years as well. Based on that, we identify where

01:08:51.119 --> 01:08:56.880
SPEAKER_02:  the shortcomings are. And we're constantly also looking at some of these other non-wire solutions

01:08:56.880 --> 01:09:04.079
SPEAKER_02:  as well, right? We're looking at the pilots for various of these non-wire solutions. Non-wire

01:09:04.079 --> 01:09:12.560
SPEAKER_02:  solutions are your non-traditional, whether you could install a battery, whether you could install

01:09:12.560 --> 01:09:19.279
SPEAKER_02:  a DER, or you could work with our customers to participate in load management. So we're

01:09:19.279 --> 01:09:23.760
SPEAKER_02:  constantly looking at that. But as far as the lead time is concerned, I think our planning studies,

01:09:24.239 --> 01:09:29.840
Unknown:  they define what those lead times are. Because we're looking constantly five years ahead on the

01:09:29.840 --> 01:09:35.760
SPEAKER_02:  distribution side and 10 years plus ahead on the transmission side. So we're always ahead of the

01:09:35.760 --> 01:09:43.760
SPEAKER_02:  game. And with our new tools, we could run scenario analysis on different of these scenarios to see

01:09:44.560 --> 01:09:49.760
SPEAKER_02:  how our grid is going to be in the next five years, in the next 10 years. So that's what we do. So

01:09:50.400 --> 01:09:52.960
SPEAKER_02:  we're going to be doing the scenario analysis moving forward.

01:09:55.280 --> 01:09:59.840
Unknown:  Then that actually strikes me as one of the advantages of being able to target

01:10:01.119 --> 01:10:07.440
SPEAKER_09:  some of our customer programs. And those could be, especially if we know how successful they are in

01:10:07.440 --> 01:10:14.720
SPEAKER_09:  the areas that have received the targeting, if it's appropriate to target them to other places

01:10:14.720 --> 01:10:21.840
SPEAKER_09:  that are going to be, that are approaching problem status. Does that capture that?

01:10:21.840 --> 01:10:26.720
SPEAKER_09:  Yeah. And I think that's one of those opportunities, right? Like there's a lot that goes into it,

01:10:26.720 --> 01:10:30.720
SPEAKER_03:  as we've talked about you wanting to make sure they show up, the validation, the cost effectiveness,

01:10:30.720 --> 01:10:36.720
SPEAKER_03:  all of those pieces. But by able to tap into that fleet of customers, you've got flexibility,

01:10:36.720 --> 01:10:41.360
SPEAKER_03:  right? And if you can do that in targeted ways, you don't have to pay for, you know,

01:10:41.359 --> 01:10:47.039
SPEAKER_03:  dispatching all of it. You could pay for potentially because there's added value to dispatch

01:10:47.039 --> 01:10:52.559
SPEAKER_03:  in specific geographical locations. And we're starting to see that already. We had Orange

01:10:52.559 --> 01:10:57.519
SPEAKER_03:  Vale substation work going on. And so how do we dispatch the fleet for my energy optimizer,

01:10:57.519 --> 01:11:01.119
SPEAKER_03:  partner plus battery storage systems, for example? So, yeah.

01:11:06.319 --> 01:11:11.199
SPEAKER_08:  Well, thank you, Rachel, Nikayla, and Amandeep. I really appreciate the information. I've always

01:11:11.199 --> 01:11:17.519
SPEAKER_08:  said SMUD staff is so good at keeping the lights on on a day-to-day basis that we have the luxury

01:11:17.519 --> 01:11:24.479
SPEAKER_08:  of being able to look at these 4, 5, 6, 10-year, 20-year plans. And so this was a luxury. Thank

01:11:24.479 --> 01:11:30.880
SPEAKER_08:  you. We appreciate it. I have one card from somebody in our audience who wishes to speak on this item,

01:11:30.880 --> 01:11:31.679
SPEAKER_08:  Mr. Weber.

01:11:32.640 --> 01:11:40.480
Unknown:  Good evening, Chairman, Board, and committee. Thank you for the integrated distribution resource

01:11:40.480 --> 01:11:48.079
SPEAKER_01:  plan presentation. I found it interesting. I assume this will be part of the IRP. Speaking of IRP,

01:11:48.079 --> 01:11:54.720
SPEAKER_01:  I'm wondering how stakeholders in the public will play a role in its development. I'm used to a

01:11:55.199 --> 01:12:02.159
SPEAKER_01:  robust public involvement and transparency in the development of an IRP. I will read an example.

01:12:02.159 --> 01:12:08.880
SPEAKER_01:  September 8, 2026, Idaho Power employees and members of a public advisory council will meet

01:12:08.880 --> 01:12:16.000
SPEAKER_01:  Thursday, September 10 to discuss key elements that will drive the utility's 20-year energy plan.

01:12:16.000 --> 01:12:22.159
SPEAKER_01:  It will be the first monthly meeting of the company's 2027 integrative resource plan

01:12:22.479 --> 01:12:29.760
SPEAKER_01:  advisory council called IRPAC. The company produces an integrative resource plan, IRP,

01:12:29.760 --> 01:12:37.279
SPEAKER_01:  every two years and intends to submit its 2027 plan to regulators in June. The virtual IRPAC

01:12:37.279 --> 01:12:42.880
Unknown:  meetings are open to the public. Thursday's meeting will provide an overview of the process

01:12:42.880 --> 01:12:49.840
SPEAKER_01:  and a recap of the 2025 IRP updates about the company's resource acquisition process,

01:12:50.159 --> 01:12:55.920
SPEAKER_01:  the proposed sale of Idaho Power's Oregon service area, and a look at the past summer's energy use

01:12:55.920 --> 01:13:01.680
SPEAKER_01:  are also on the agenda. Background information and a link for attending via WebEx are available

01:13:01.680 --> 01:13:09.680
SPEAKER_01:  at idahoapower.com slash IRP. Meetings begin at 9 a.m. Mountain Time. The IRPAC is a volunteer

01:13:09.680 --> 01:13:15.920
SPEAKER_01:  panel that will meet with Idaho Power staff several times over a period of months to discuss

01:13:15.920 --> 01:13:22.640
SPEAKER_01:  the 2027 integrative resource plan, which will play out the company's preferred portfolio of

01:13:22.640 --> 01:13:29.760
SPEAKER_01:  energy resources to serve customers over the next 20 years. The IRPAC includes representatives from

01:13:29.760 --> 01:13:36.560
SPEAKER_01:  public interest groups, industry and agriculture as well as the state and local lawmakers,

01:13:36.560 --> 01:13:42.159
SPEAKER_01:  public utility commission staff and other interested parties. The advisory council provides

01:13:42.399 --> 01:13:50.319
SPEAKER_01:  public input and feedback that assists the company in the creation of the 2027 IRP. I

01:13:50.319 --> 01:13:59.119
SPEAKER_01:  participated in Idaho Power's IRPs from 2006 until 2013. What will be the format for SMUD's

01:13:59.119 --> 01:14:07.359
SPEAKER_01:  2027 IRP? Thank you. Thank you. Laura, can we ask somebody from staff to get back to Mr. Webber and

01:14:08.239 --> 01:14:13.199
SPEAKER_08:  with some idea of what our communications and outreach strategy is going to be for the IRP.

01:14:13.199 --> 01:14:19.359
SPEAKER_08:  Thank you. Do we have anybody online who wishes to speak on our agenda item?

01:14:27.199 --> 01:14:34.479
Unknown:  Do not see any hands now. Okay. And the next item on the agenda is for public comment for items not

01:14:34.479 --> 01:14:38.799
SPEAKER_08:  on the agenda. And Mr. Webber, you wish to speak on that as well.

01:14:42.319 --> 01:14:49.199
Unknown:  Yes, thank you. Good evening, Chairman, board and committee. I've been a SMUD superfan for decades.

01:14:49.199 --> 01:14:54.799
SPEAKER_01:  I could have lived anywhere but chose here in part because of being in SMUD's service territory.

01:14:54.799 --> 01:15:02.079
SPEAKER_01:  The 2030 zero carbon commitment was a big draw. SMUD's website states the following promise,

01:15:02.079 --> 01:15:09.439
SPEAKER_01:  low rates, reliable service, carbon free energy by 2030. We're going all in to provide 100%

01:15:10.000 --> 01:15:17.359
SPEAKER_01:  carbon free power by 2030. Our 2030 zero carbon vision continues this commitment.

01:15:18.479 --> 01:15:23.039
SPEAKER_01:  Webster's defines commitment as an agreement or pledge to do something in the future.

01:15:23.600 --> 01:15:28.720
SPEAKER_01:  This is different than a goal which is defined as the end toward which an effort is directed.

01:15:29.360 --> 01:15:34.480
SPEAKER_01:  In last month's committee and board meetings, it sounded like there was a shift in the messaging

01:15:35.280 --> 01:15:42.560
SPEAKER_01:  from the 2030 zero carbon commitment to a goal. And it didn't sound like that goal would be achieved.

01:15:43.280 --> 01:15:51.680
SPEAKER_01:  I would suggest that the 2030 zero carbon commitment be replaced with a 2035 95% renewable

01:15:51.680 --> 01:15:59.039
SPEAKER_01:  generation goal. My reasoning is negative messaging often fails. Messaging needs to be

01:15:59.039 --> 01:16:05.200
SPEAKER_01:  for what you want, not what you don't want. When you commit to a partner, you don't say

01:16:05.200 --> 01:16:11.520
SPEAKER_01:  zero cheating. You say always faithful. You focus on what you want, not what you don't want.

01:16:12.079 --> 01:16:20.800
Unknown:  We want renewable generation. We need milestones to achieve the goal along the way. 90% by 2030

01:16:20.800 --> 01:16:28.400
SPEAKER_01:  and 1% more every year. Without milestones, goals are unlikely to be met. If you want to run a 100

01:16:28.400 --> 01:16:34.480
SPEAKER_01:  mile race in one year, you would want to set milestones along the way. 25 miles after three

01:16:34.480 --> 01:16:41.440
SPEAKER_01:  months, 50 miles after six months, 75 miles in nine months. Please consider my suggestion for a

01:16:41.440 --> 01:16:48.159
SPEAKER_01:  positive achievable goal with milestones along the way. We do have a big tailwind since the plug-in

01:16:48.159 --> 01:16:53.439
SPEAKER_01:  solar bill was signed. If we could get a couple hundred thousand owners and renters to install

01:16:53.439 --> 01:17:00.239
SPEAKER_01:  500 watts of solar each, that adds up to 100 megawatts of solar on the system without any

01:17:00.239 --> 01:17:06.720
SPEAKER_01:  transmission upgrades or cost rate pairs. If we could encourage people to install west facing

01:17:06.720 --> 01:17:12.319
SPEAKER_01:  panels, we could save millions of dollars on storage. I have faith that SMUD employees can

01:17:12.319 --> 01:17:17.119
SPEAKER_01:  achieve the goals working with the board and the public. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Weber.

01:17:18.319 --> 01:17:22.559
SPEAKER_08:  Chief legal officer, do we have anybody online who wishes to speak on items not on the agenda?

01:17:24.159 --> 01:17:29.760
Unknown:  No, we do not. And then our last item is to provide a summary of committee direction.

01:17:32.399 --> 01:17:36.559
Unknown:  The only thing I have is that we'll follow up with John Weber on information related to the public

01:17:36.559 --> 01:17:43.199
SPEAKER_04:  process that we'll use for the RIRP. Great. Thank you. Having reached the end of our agenda,

01:17:43.199 --> 01:17:45.039
SPEAKER_08:  seeing no more business, this meeting is adjourned.

01:17:48.159 --> 01:17:50.159
Unknown:  Thank you.
